Can you make money writing algorithms ? Part I

Just a few years ago it didn’t really pay off to be an algorithm focused company or an expert. Life was much better for a company that made pretty straight forward   database-office-automation-process-improvement software. Finally, this is about to change and the really smart people of software programming might start seeing money flowing their way.

Historically, writing sophisticated algorithms didn’t result in great product, system or reward. One of my good friends, who is also one of the brightest guys I know, tried once to sell a great machine learning algorithm.He devoted 5 years of his life to writing it. The best offer he ever heard was 10,000$. That’s more-or-less 200 hours worth of an expert HTML developer in San Francisco , only that this is one of the smartest people in computer science and he spent some 12,000 hours on it.

Things were not much better for others. Let’s try a social game. Name 5 famous Belgians ! Sorry, wrong game.  Name 5 famous algorithms that made their inventors rich. Don’t Peek.

1.       RSA – There is some evidence that considerable financial reward did arrive to some of the inventors.

2.       LZW – Rumor has it that Compuserve made some money out of it.

3.       Can someone Help ? One-Click-Shopping? Window Keyboard Button?  T9 ?

To make things worse even the smart companies didn’t do very well. Take a look the OCR market. There used to be quite a few companies that made great algorithms for image processing and pattern recognition : Ceare, Calera, Xerox, ScanSoft. They are so forgotten you can’t even find most of them on the web.

Today, almost none of them exist and you probably never heard of them, if you are outside of the field. Voice recognition companies didn’t do much better. Dragon, Art,Phonetic Systems. No one was really able to get really huge revenues and they all folded into one company – Nuance.

There are quite a few good reasons for that. First of all, people buy products , services or full solutions. They are not really interested in algorithms. Usually the people who create great algorithms are not so great in product management or system engineering. Google without the text-ad concept and great engineering of scalable data centers would be left with another great information retrieval algorithm.

Second, there are many times in which a better algorithm is less important than implementation and context. In computer science it can mean a lot if something takes N operations to compute or If it takes 2N operating to compute. In real life this is often overshadowed by other considerations such as memory, IO, or just waiting for the users input. Moreover, algorithms need context. Data mining for  shopping is different that basketball analytics. Understanding the unique features of each one involves a lot of domain expertise.

To make matters worse for our algorithm genius, even in places where algorithm can save lots of money such as compression, communication and encryption the trend in recent years has been standardization.
With cellular (GSM) & Security  (AES) innovation being set by standard committees, the potential to make a difference lies more in the implementation of the algorithm, rather than its invention.

In so many words, if you wanted to spend your life writing cool algorithms, you would probably need to focus on academic life or settle for nice day job in medical, communications or defense industry.In next part – Why is it all changing ?

Tags: , , , ,

2 Responses to “Can you make money writing algorithms ? Part I”

  1. Why the F22 Crashed and the iPad Took Off « Evil Fish Says:

    […] an amazing face recognition for  facebook generates access to 750 Million customers. The OCR domain is one example I already bogged […]

  2. Can You Make Money Writing Algorithms? – Part III « Evil Fish Says:

    […] 2007 I wrote Why it is hard to make money form algorithms and How new technologies allow making money from […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: